The Republican Who Gets The Most

Romney will certainly be hurt from this caucus considering he won 25.2% in 2008 (2nd) and is looking at ~25% in 2012 and possibly first.  That means all he did was not gain any voters.  Hopefully, with Santorum’s finish of either 1st or 2nd, the donors will funnel money into his campaign further hurting Romney.  Even if Paul won, which he didn’t I seriously doubt Serious Donor’s would have funneled much into Paul’s campaign as it is pretty obvious he won’t beat Obama and quite frankly, many of his views are not in line with theirs.

Anyways, looks like the Big Winner could very well be Santorum in terms of media coverage, donations, momentum, etc. with the Big Loser being Romney with the contest drawn out further.

Oh, and for the others running… Who cares?  It will be interesting to note who drops out but other than that…. Yeah.  Gingrich might get in the news a bit with South Carolina but that’s in a while.

Revised to fix Romney’s percentage in 2008 caucus.


Why Winning Iowa Doesn’t Really Matter

Historically, the winner of Iowa has not won the nomination.  in fact, in 2008, Huckabee won the state but at the convention, every single delegate he “won” voted for McCain.  So, what does this mean?

Well, instead of the winner, the most important factor is who does better than expected and who does worse than expected.  This is a battle for favorable press time and momentum.  So…

Going into this caucus, Santorum and Paul have a lot of momentum.  Romney has negative.  This means the first two might do better than expected with Santorum probably doing the best and Romney doing worse than expected though not necessarily get 3rd.

Anyways, this still doesn’t change my nomination projection of Romney.  But I do think Santorum has a good chance at taking Iowa.

What I want is to make this process as long as possible to hurt their field the most.  So I really do want Romney to do poorly as well as anyone but Romney to win the nomination.

Fox News Makes You Dumber

Again, a study is released showing that watching Fox News makes you less informed that you would normally be.  Over at HuffPo,

Dan Cassino, a political science professor at Fairleigh Dickinson, explained in a statement, “Because of the controls for partisanship, we know these results are not just driven by Republicans or other groups being more likely to watch Fox News. Rather, the results show us that there is something about watching Fox News that leads people to do worse on these questions than those who don’t watch any news at all.”

I must say, this seems pretty obvious considering all of the hate spewing over at Fox, but now there is another study to back it up.

Herman Cain-Racist and Just Plain Nutjob

I’ve posted several things tonight, and figured I was done.  But then I remembered that I had the video below open in a tab.

Yes, a collection of Herman Cain clips.  I always found him interesting due to his blatant racism against not only Muslims, but blacks too!  Yes, he is racist against his own race.  How does that even happen?!  Well, the answer is, subscribe to Right-Wing ideology.

As recent polls have shown, he’s in first place, with Romney right behind him (or even within the margin of error).  Does this mean he will win the nomination?  No, of course not.  I still maintain that he doesn’t have a chance.  It will go to Romney, but for the time being, it’s funny to listen to some of Cain’s gaffes.

World Series–Armed Services Promoting Religion

I do realize that the World Series is not a government event.  But, for the National Anthem, they have a celebrity singing.  Every single time.  Demi Lovato, Zooey Deschanel, etc..  But when “God Bless America” is sung, it is always a person in the military.  Not only that, but, it is televised when normally, it is not.  (During the regular season.)

Now, I think it is clear that this is trying to instill religion in the military and to promote it to the audience.  Why can’t a celebrity sing this song?  The announcers also tell people to stand up and take their caps off.  This is not a national song, and there is no reason to respect it as such.  In fact, this should be offensive to Americans for treating other songs with equal “respect.”

By using the military to sing God Bless America, exclusively, it is clearly a way of putting God into the armed services and saying the armed services support this being projected on the crowd.

Time and time again, God is forced into our daily lives, when it is in fact, illegal to do so.  I find it annoying when I go to a baseball game and then they take the time to sing this idiotic song.  In fact, when I refuse to stand and “respect” (as much as you can “respect” a song)  everyone around stares.  I understand that this is a private event and that they have the right, but it is still forcing religion on others.  If you try to walk around and go to your seats, the person looking at the tickets will yell at you.  Yes, I have done this.  In this country we should be able to go to see “America’s Pastime” without having to endure religious indoctrination.

In fact, a quick Google search brings up this lawsuit, where it was settled and the person got kicked out of Yankees Stadium when he had to use the restroom.

Oh, and I guess it’s time to address the stupid use of prayer before, during, and after a game.  Ok, seriously, praying before a game?  Even if God existed (which it doesn’t) why would God care about a sports game when there are 925 million people in this world who are hungry?  Or when there are 9 million children under the age of 5 who die every year?  Yeah, seriously, praying after you get a hit, that’s being dumb, even by the standards of prayer.

HPV Vaccination for Males!

The CDC just recommended that males get an HPV vaccination.

See here, over at Scienceblogs.  They have a good write-up on the reasons why males must also be vaccinated.

It’s important for everyone to get their vaccinations.  There are very little risks and the vaccines are extremely safe.  It takes more than 90% of a population to be vaccinated in order to effectively eliminate the virus.

On a similar note, people should start getting their flu vaccinations now.  It takes a bit for it to start working so Halloween is a good date.  If you don’t want to deal with needles, find where FluMist is offered.  (Call the visiting nurse association.)  It’s a nasal spray and is less intrusive.  I’ll be getting mine this week.

Those horror stories you’ve heard about vaccinations.  Well, they are not true.  Vaccinations are safe and do not cause autism.  If you feel that you will “put up” with the consequences of the flu, etc.  well, please realize that you can be a carrier.  And that person who gets the flu from you might not fare so well.  There’s no reason not to get a flu vaccination.

The Iraq War. In Retrospect.

Today, Think Progress put together some numbers on the Iraq War.  And for those who haven’t seen any news,  Obama announced that all troops will be home by the holidays.

8 years, 260 days since Secretary of State Colin Powell presented evidence of Saddam Hussein’s biological weapons program

8 years, 215 days since the March 20, 2003 invasion of Iraq

8 years, 175 days since President George W. Bush’s “Mission Accomplished” speech on the USS Abraham Lincoln

4,479 U.S. military fatalities

30,182U.S. military injuries

468contractor fatalities

103,142 – 112,708 documented civilian deaths

2.8 millioninternally displaced Iraqis

$806 billion in federal funding for the Iraq War through FY2011

$3 – $5 trillion in total economic cost to the United States of the Iraq war according to economist Joseph E. Stiglitz and Linda J. Blimes

$60 billion in U.S. expenditures lost to waste and fraud in Iraq and Afghanistan since 2001

0 weapons of mass destruction found in Iraq

Now the reason for Obama “bringing” our troops home is because Iraq would not grant US troops or trainers “immunity.”

Now, because this withdrawal deadline of December 31st, 2011 was something the Bush signed and that Iraq wouldn’t grant immunity.  It was more of, Iraq kicking us out.  I wonder why?  After all, we only destroyed all of their infrastructure and killed over 100,000 civilians…  But then again, Obama could have kept us there longer.  So, he does deserve credit.

Either way, this is better than what Romney and Perry want.

Romney first,

“President Obama’s astonishing failure to secure an orderly transition in Iraq has unnecessarily put at risk the victories that were won through the blood and sacrifice of thousands of American men and women. The unavoidable question is whether this decision is the result of a naked political calculation or simply sheer ineptitude in negotiations with the Iraqi government. The American people deserve to hear the recommendations that were made by our military commanders in Iraq.”

And Perry,

Gov. Rick Perry (R-TX) took a similar tone in a statement, saying he’s “deeply concerned” about the decision, and not offering any consideration to the Iraqis views. “The President was slow to engage the Iraqis and there’s little evidence today’s decision is based on advice from military commanders,” Perry said.

Ok, Think Progress notes that,

While it’s unclear what Romney means by failing “to secure an orderly transition in Iraq” (this process has been underway for years now), by asking to know what “our military commanders in Iraq” recommended, Romney doesn’t seem to understand that it was ultimately up to the Iraqis to decide whether U.S. troops stayed in Iraq past the 2011 deadline, not the U.S. military.

The Obama administration reportedly planned to keep upwards of 5,000 U.S. troops or “trainers” in Iraq past 2011 but the Iraqis refused to grant American soldiers immunity from Iraqi law.

Well, good.

It’s interesting that Romney and Perry wanted the troops to remain in Iraq considering this war is strongly opposed.  But then again, it is Romney and Perry…

Oh, and fine, I’ll add this last bit about Bachmann at the Debate the other night.  This is what she said,

Cutting back on foreign aid is one thing. Being reimbursed by nations that we have liberated is another. We should look to Iraq and Libya to reimburse us for part of what we have done to liberate these nations.

Yes, I’m sure after “liberating” them by destroying all of their buildings, and killing over 100,000 people, the first thing on their mind is how they will “repay” us for our “service.”  Looks like they will gladly pay something on the order of $3-5 trillion…  Yeah,  good logic there Bachmann.
Maybe this can be the much needed stimulus?!  Somehow I doubt it… and I don’t think that is a pessimistic view either.

Anyways, congrats to Obama.